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06.12.2018: Traders doubt truce between US and China

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This week traders speculating on the US dollar are in the wait-and-see mood, anticipating US non-farm payrolls on Friday.
Analysts expect downbeat data on the employment in the US private sector that could assure the Federal Reserve to soften rhetoric on monetary policy.
Today the US dollar index rebounded from the level of 97.00 and jumped over 10 pips. The market is again facing turbulence amid the incident which may raise tensions between the US and China.
Earlier Thursday, Canada arrested Meng Wanzhou, a top executive for China’s Huawai Technologies Co. on behalf of the US government. She is suspected of violating US trade sanctions against Iran. The US authorities are investigating the delivery scheme of Huawei equipment produced in the US to Iran, thus breaching sanctions. Now Huawei financial director is being prepared for extradition to the US to face charges. The news could reignite trade worries after evident progress which has been made to ease the ongoing trade war.
Investors showed an immediate response in the Asian trade. The dollar/yen pair shed almost 60 pips and briefly touched 112.60. Later the pair made an upward correction and jumped to the level slightly above 113.00.
In the meantime, the risky assets are trading lower. The Australian dollar settled down at near 0.7225 against its American counterpart.
Traders were discouraged with data on Australia’s retail sales. The report showed a 0.3% increase in October, following a minor 0.1% gain in the previous month. The fresh reading came in line with expectations. On the minus side, Australia’s trade balance showed a smaller surplus in October, undershooting the median forecast.
Market participants are sitting on the sidelines of the policy meeting of the Federal Reserve. US non-farm payrolls are due on Friday. Besides, political factors also make an impact. Thus, investors are closely monitoring developments in the trade conflict between the US and China.


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